Imakethe yensimbi yaseChina ibe nesiqalo esiqinile sonyaka.Izibalo zibonisa ukuthi ezinyangeni ezimbili zokuqala zalo nyaka, isidingo semakethe yensimbi kazwelonke sikhule kancane kancane, kuyilapho ukuhlinzekwa kanye nokufunwa kwehle kakhulu, ukwehla kwempahla yezenhlalakahle.Ngenxa yokwenziwa ngcono kobudlelwane bokunikezela kanye nesidingo kanye nokwenyuka kwezindleko, intengo iyakhuphuka.

Okokuqala, ukukhula kwemboni yensimbi ezansi nomfula kwashesha, isidingo sensimbi sakhula kancane kancane

Kusukela ngekota yesine yonyaka odlule, abenzi bezinqubomgomo bethule uchungechunge lwezinyathelo zokusimamisa ukukhula, njengokusheshisa ukuvunywa kwamaphrojekthi otshalomali, ukunciphisa isilinganiso semfuneko yesabelomali, ukunciphisa izinga lenzalo kwezinye izindawo, kanye nokuthuthukisa ukukhishwa kwamabhondi endawo.Ngaphansi komthelela walezi zinyathelo, ukutshalwa kwezimali kwempahla engaguquki kuzwelonke, ukukhiqizwa kwezimboni kanye nemikhiqizo esetshenziswa insimbi kuye kwakhula ngesivinini, futhi ukuthunyelwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kudlule obekulindelwe.Ngokwezibalo, ezinyangeni ezimbili zokuqala zalo nyaka, ukutshalwa kwezimali kwempahla egxilile kuzwelonke (ngaphandle kwemizi yasemakhaya) kukhuphuke ngo-12.2% unyaka nonyaka, kanye nenani elengeziwe lezimboni ngaphezu kosayizi obumisiwe lenyuke ngo-7.5% unyaka nonyaka, kokubili okubonisa ukukhula ngokushesha. mkhuba, futhi ijubane namanje ngesivinini.Phakathi kwemikhiqizo ethile ebalulekile edla insimbi, ukukhiqizwa kwamathuluzi emishini yokusika insimbi kukhuphuke ngo-7.2% unyaka nonyaka ngoJanuwari-Februwari, lokho kwamasethi ejeneretha ngo-9.2%, okwezimoto ngo-11.1% kanye nokwamarobhothi ezimboni 29.6% unyaka nonyaka.Ngakho, kulo nyaka kusukela kuzwelonke steel ezifuywayo mkhuba ukukhula uzinzile.Ngaso leso sikhathi, inani eliphelele lokuthunyelwa kwempahla kuzwelonke likhuphuke ngamaphesenti ayi-13,6 unyaka nonyaka, kwazuza inkambiso yokukhula enamadijithi amabili, ikakhulukazi ukuthunyelwa kwemikhiqizo yemishini nekagesi kukhuphuke ngama-9.9% unyaka nonyaka, ukuthekelisa kwensimbi okungaqondile kusenamandla.

Okwesibili, kokubili umkhiqizo wasekhaya kanye nokuthengwa kwempahla kwamanye amazwe kwehlile, okuqhubeka kunciphisa ukuhlinzekwa kwezinsiza

Ngesikhathi esifanayo sokukhula okuqhubekayo kohlangothi lwesidingo, ukuhlinzekwa kwemithombo yensimbi entsha eChina kwehle kakhulu.Ngokwezibalo, ezinyangeni ezimbili zokuqala zalo nyaka, insimbi engahluziwe ephuma kuzwelonke engamathani ayizigidi eziyi-157.96, yehle ngo-10% unyaka nonyaka;Ukukhishwa kwensimbi kufinyelele kumathani ayizigidi eziyi-196.71, kwehle ngo-6.0% unyaka nonyaka.Ngesikhathi esifanayo, i-China yangenisa amathani ensimbi ayizigidi ezingu-2.207, phansi ngo-7.9% ngonyaka.Ngokwalokhu kubala, ukwanda kwezinsiza zensimbi engahluziwe eChina kusukela ngoJanuwari kuya kuFebhuwari 2022 cishe kungamathani ayizigidi eziyi-160.28, kwehle ngo-10% unyaka nonyaka, noma cishe amathani ayizigidi eziyi-18.Ukwehliswa okukhulu kangaka akukaze kwenzeke emlandweni.

Okwesithathu, ukuthuthuka okusobala kokuhlinzekwa kanye nesidingo kanye nokwenyuka kwezindleko, ukushaqeka kwentengo yensimbi kuyakhuphuka

Kusukela kulo nyaka, ukukhula okuqhubekayo kwesidingo kanye nokwehla okukhulu kwezinsiza ezintsha, ukuze ubudlelwano bokuhlinzeka nokufunwa buthuthukiswe kakhulu, ngaleyo ndlela kukhuthaze ukwehla kwempahla yensimbi.Ngokwezibalo ze-China Iron and Steel Association, ezinsukwini eziyishumi zokuqala zikaMashi kulo nyaka, izibalo eziyinhloko zikazwelonke zamabhizinisi ensimbi yokusungula insimbi yehle ngo-6.7% unyaka nonyaka.Ngaphezu kwalokho, ngokusho kokuqapha kwemakethe yenethiwekhi ye-Lange Steel, kusukela ngoMashi 11, 2022, amadolobha angu-29 abalulekile e-steel social inventory engamathani ayizigidi eziyi-16.286, ehle ngo-17% unyaka nonyaka.

Ngakolunye uhlangothi, kusukela kulo nyaka i-iron ore, i-coke, amandla kanye nezinye intengo zikhuphuka, nakho kwenza izindleko zokukhiqiza insimbi kazwelonke zikhuphuke.Idatha yokuqapha imakethe ye-Lange Steel Network ibonisa ukuthi kusukela ngo-March 11, 2022, i-iron kanye ne-steel enterprises ye-pig iron cost index ye-155, uma kuqhathaniswa nokuphela konyaka odlule (December 31, 2021) ikhuphuke ngo-17.7%, ukusekelwa kwezindleko zensimbi kuyaqhubeka qinisa.

Njengomphumela walezi zici ezimbili ezingenhla zephromoshini, kuhambisana nesizinda sokwehla kwamandla emali emhlabeni jikelele, ngakho kulo nyaka njengoba intengo yensimbi kazwelonke yenyuka.Idatha yokuqapha imakethe ye-Lange Steel Network ibonisa ukuthi kusukela ngomhla ka-15 Mashi 2022, isilinganiso sentengo yensimbi sikazwelonke esingu-5212 yuan/ton, uma siqhathaniswa nokuphela konyaka odlule (Disemba 31, 2021) sikhuphuke ngo-3.6%.